Card Preview

Dreamtide Whale

· Creature — Whale · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

207

Decks Running

103

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

46 instances

4.3%

Library

37.0%

Battlefield

28.3%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kratos, Stoic Father 11 decks
2 Tidus, Yuna's Guardian 11 decks
3 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 10 decks
4 Eshki, Temur's Roar 10 decks
5 Ms. Bumbleflower 9 decks
6 Inspirit, Flagship Vessel 5 decks
7 The Wise Mothman 5 decks
8 Xavier Sal, Infested Captain 5 decks
9 Toxrill, the Corrosive 4 decks
10 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

207 brought · 111 players

Brought to game

207

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 63% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.6pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=20) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=132).

Observed gap +3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -8.6pp to +14.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=27

15%

19%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 8

On curve 19% (4 / 27 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 20%

27 of 100 times cast 27%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.