Elemental Bond
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
150 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ureni of the Unwritten
29 decks
-
2
Atarka, World Render
21 decks
-
3
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
20 decks
-
4
The Ur-Dragon
17 decks
-
5
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
15 decks
-
6
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
12 decks
-
7
Omnath, Locus of Rage
12 decks
-
8
Ashling, the Limitless
11 decks
-
9
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
8 decks
-
10
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
748 brought · 285 playersOnce cast, 86% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=82) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=490).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=34) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.9pp; 95% confidence interval -2.8pp to +8.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=97Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.