Live Play Data

Elspeth, Storm Slayer

· Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth · Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1787

Decks Running

771

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=279

10%

16%

58%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 22

On curve 31% (44 / 279 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

1789 brought · 599 players

Brought to game

1789

Ever drawn

400

Reached battlefield

279

Still on board at game end

183

Once cast, 66% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +11.8pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=264) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1183).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=101).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +17.8pp; 95% confidence interval +11.8pp to +23.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

444 instances

1.4%

Library

41.2%

Battlefield

27.0%

Graveyard

6.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Elspeth, Storm Slayer

Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth

If one or more tokens would be created under your control, twice that many of those tokens are created instead. +1: Create a 1/1 white Soldier creature token. 0: Put a +1/+1 counter on each creature you control. Those creatures gain flying until your next turn. −3: Destroy target creature an opponent controls with mana value 3 or greater.

Loyalty 5

Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM) · Mythic · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.