Elspeth, Storm Slayer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Elspeth, Storm Slayer
Final zone distribution
297 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Baylen, the Haymaker
36 decks
-
2
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
27 decks
-
3
Mr. House, President and CEO
20 decks
-
4
Marneus Calgar
19 decks
-
5
Jace, Multiverse Architect
16 decks
-
6
Quintorius, History Chaser
15 decks
-
7
Rin and Seri, Inseparable
15 decks
-
8
Tam, the Possibility
15 decks
-
9
Edgar Markov
14 decks
-
10
Trostani, Selesnya's Voice
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1435 brought · 549 playersOnce cast, 82% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=151) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=898).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=66).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +10.5pp; 95% confidence interval +6.5pp to +14.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.