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Ephemerate

· Instant · Modern Horizons (MH1)

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Times Brought

239

Decks Running

139

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

50 instances

8.0%

Battlefield

40.0%

Graveyard

14.0%

Exile

38.0%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 12 decks
2 Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines 10 decks
3 Ashling, the Limitless 5 decks
4 Brago, King Eternal 5 decks
5 Atraxa, Grand Unifier 4 decks
6 Galadriel, Light of Valinor 4 decks
7 Katara, the Fearless 4 decks
8 Mister Negative 4 decks
9 Reaper King 4 decks
10 Aminatou, the Fateshifter 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

242 brought · 128 players

Brought to game

242

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -5.3pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=18) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=161).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=22) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval -5.3pp to +16.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

19 of 100 times cast 19%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.