Live Play Data

Fact or Fiction

· Instant · Commander Masters (CMM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1070

Decks Running

611

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=155

13%

15%

54%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 18% (20 / 155 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

1070 brought · 535 players

Brought to game

1070

Ever drawn

268

Reached battlefield

155

Still on board at game end

≥ +2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=141) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=653).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=101).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.2pp; 95% confidence interval +2.9pp to +17.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

320 instances

6.3%

Library

1.9%

Battlefield

56.6%

Graveyard

11.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 57 decks
2 Captain N'ghathrod 33 decks
3 Sauron, the Dark Lord 30 decks
4 Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait 20 decks
5 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 14 decks
6 Thranduil, the Elvenking 13 decks
7 Anhelo, the Painter 11 decks
8 Cosmic Spider-Man 11 decks
9 Saruman, the White Hand 11 decks
10 Alela, Cunning Conqueror 10 decks

Card text

Fact or Fiction

Instant

Reveal the top five cards of your library. An opponent separates those cards into two piles. Put one pile into your hand and the other into your graveyard.

Commander Masters (CMM) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Anna Christenson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.