Live Play Data

Fact or Fiction

· Instant · Reality Fracture Commander (FRC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1686

Decks Running

940

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=239

13%

15%

49%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 16

On curve 19% (30 / 239 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

1686 brought · 808 players

Brought to game

1686

Ever drawn

416

Reached battlefield

239

Still on board at game end

≥ +4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=211) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=1015).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=159).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.0pp; 95% confidence interval +4.9pp to +17.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

499 instances

8.2%

Library

1.8%

Battlefield

55.3%

Graveyard

11.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Jace, Multiverse Architect 119 decks
2 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 74 decks
3 Captain N'ghathrod 48 decks
4 Sauron, the Dark Lord 37 decks
5 Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait 26 decks
6 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 18 decks
7 Thranduil, the Elvenking 17 decks
8 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 15 decks
9 Saruman, the White Hand 14 decks
10 Whtz, the Bibliophile 14 decks

Card text

Fact or Fiction

Instant

Reveal the top five cards of your library. An opponent separates those cards into two piles. Put one pile into your hand and the other into your graveyard.

Reality Fracture Commander (FRC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Matt Cavotta

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.