Live Play Data

Fateful Absence

· Instant · Innistrad: Midnight Hunt (MID)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

589

Decks Running

293

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=96

21%

43%

T6-9

21%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 25

On curve 2% (2 / 96 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

589 brought · 286 players

Brought to game

589

Ever drawn

136

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -11.0pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=85) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=378).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=39).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -11.0pp to +8.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

146 instances

0.7%

Library

71.9%

Graveyard

4.8%

Exile

22.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Giada, Font of Hope 191 decks
2 Sorin of House Markov // Sorin, Ravenous Neonate 5 decks
3 Kambal, Profiteering Mayor 4 decks
4 Edgar Markov 3 decks
5 Whtz, the Bibliophile 3 decks
6 Aerith Gainsborough 2 decks
7 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 2 decks
8 Dwalin, Weaponmaster 2 decks
9 Liesa, Forgotten Archangel 2 decks
10 Lucy MacLean, Positively Armed 2 decks

Card text

Fateful Absence

Instant

Destroy target creature or planeswalker. Its controller investigates. (They create a Clue token. It's an artifact with " {2}

, Sacrifice this token: Draw a card.")

Innistrad: Midnight Hunt (MID) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.