Live Play Data

Ferrous Lake

Land · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2515

Decks Running

1066

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=448

22%

11%

17%

11%

26%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 17

Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

2515 brought · 945 players

Brought to game

2515

Ever drawn

633

Reached battlefield

448

Still on board at game end

415

Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.8pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=432) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=1646).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 37% (n=174).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.6pp; 95% confidence interval -0.8pp to +8.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

708 instances

4.1%

Library

58.6%

Battlefield

16.5%

Graveyard

5.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Rootha, Mastering the Moment 135 decks
2 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 97 decks
3 Shiko and Narset, Unified 72 decks
4 Vivi Ornitier 63 decks
5 Dr. Madison Li 49 decks
6 Ovika, Enigma Goliath 28 decks
7 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man 28 decks
8 Prismari, the Inspiration 27 decks
9 Stella Lee, Wild Card 26 decks
10 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 19 decks

Card text

Ferrous Lake

Land

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Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Grady Frederick

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.