Live Play Data

Ferrous Lake

Land · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1570

Decks Running

691

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

72%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=289

12%

22%

13%

16%

22%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 15

Cast same turn as drawn 41%

The "good card" funnel

1570 brought · 616 players

Brought to game

1570

Ever drawn

402

Reached battlefield

289

Still on board at game end

264

Once cast, 91% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.7pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=266) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=960).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=106).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -2.7pp to +8.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

448 instances

4.0%

Library

58.9%

Battlefield

16.5%

Graveyard

5.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Rootha, Mastering the Moment 100 decks
2 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 57 decks
3 Shiko and Narset, Unified 44 decks
4 Vivi Ornitier 41 decks
5 Dr. Madison Li 31 decks
6 Ovika, Enigma Goliath 22 decks
7 Prismari, the Inspiration 17 decks
8 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man 15 decks
9 Fire Lord Azula 14 decks
10 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 13 decks

Card text

Ferrous Lake

Land

: Add

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Grady Frederick

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.