Ferrous Lake
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ferrous Lake
Final zone distribution
345 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Rootha, Mastering the Moment
87 decks
-
2
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
67 decks
-
3
Shiko and Narset, Unified
42 decks
-
4
Vivi Ornitier
41 decks
-
5
Dr. Madison Li
37 decks
-
6
Stella Lee, Wild Card
20 decks
-
7
Ovika, Enigma Goliath
18 decks
-
8
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
14 decks
-
9
Fire Lord Azula
13 decks
-
10
Prismari, the Inspiration
13 decks
The "good card" funnel
1261 brought · 564 playersOnce cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=183) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=628).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=62).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.6pp; 95% confidence interval -0.5pp to +7.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.