Live Play Data

Fire Covenant

· Instant · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

826

Decks Running

379

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=105

10%

13%

52%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 7% (4 / 105 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

826 brought · 359 players

Brought to game

826

Ever drawn

196

Reached battlefield

105

Still on board at game end

≥ -7.7pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=93) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=525).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=79).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -7.7pp to +10.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

222 instances

3.6%

Library

4.5%

Battlefield

49.5%

Graveyard

12.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 102 decks
2 Smaug the Impenetrable 55 decks
3 Queen Marchesa 28 decks
4 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 17 decks
5 The Reaper, King No More 15 decks
6 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 12 decks
7 Edgar Markov 9 decks
8 Fire Lord Azula 9 decks
9 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 9 decks
10 Rowan, Scion of War 9 decks

Card text

Fire Covenant

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, pay X life. Fire Covenant deals X damage divided as you choose among any number of target creatures.

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jeff Miracola

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.