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Fire Covenant card art
Live Play Data

Fire Covenant

{1} {B} {R} · Instant · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)
3%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
469
Decks Running
221
Median Cast Turn
7.0
Drawn → Played
50%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=54
2%
T1
2%
T2
2%
T3
7%
T4
17%
T5
48%
T6-9
22%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 12
On curve 6% (1 / 54 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

469 brought · 208 players
Brought to game
469
Ever drawn
108
Reached battlefield
54
Still on board at game end
6
≥ -12.4pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=48) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=295).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=44).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -12.4pp to +13.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

122 instances
4.9%
Library
4.9%
Battlefield
48.4%
Graveyard
13.9%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Fire Covenant card

Fire Covenant

{1} {B} {R}
Instant
As an additional cost to cast this spell, pay X life. Fire Covenant deals X damage divided as you choose among any number of target creatures.
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jeff Miracola

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.