Live Play Data

Fire Covenant

· Instant · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

424

Decks Running

198

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

52%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=50

16%

52%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 4% (0 / 50 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 24%

The "good card" funnel

424 brought · 188 players

Brought to game

424

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -14.9pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=44) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=267).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=38).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.2pp; 95% confidence interval -14.9pp to +12.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

108 instances

5.6%

Library

5.6%

Battlefield

48.1%

Graveyard

13.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 60 decks
2 Smaug the Impenetrable 31 decks
3 Queen Marchesa 12 decks
4 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 9 decks
5 The Reaper, King No More 9 decks
6 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 6 decks
7 Edgar Markov 5 decks
8 Fire Lord Azula 5 decks
9 Rowan, Scion of War 4 decks
10 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 4 decks

Card text

Fire Covenant

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, pay X life. Fire Covenant deals X damage divided as you choose among any number of target creatures.

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jeff Miracola

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.