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Fire Covenant

· Instant · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

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Times Brought

189

Decks Running

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

49 instances

4.1%

Library

6.1%

Battlefield

69.4%

Graveyard

8.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 43 decks
2 Smaug the Impenetrable 11 decks
3 Fire Lord Azula 3 decks
4 The Reaper, King No More 3 decks
5 Deadpool, Trading Card 2 decks
6 Edgar Markov 2 decks
7 Inalla, Archmage Ritualist 2 decks
8 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 2 decks
9 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 2 decks
10 Morophon, the Boundless 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

189 brought · 97 players

Brought to game

189

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -5.2pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=31) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=114).

Observed gap +4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.2pp to +14.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=33

30%

39%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 15% (3 / 33 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

33 of 100 times cast 33%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.