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Fire-Lit Thicket card art
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Fire-Lit Thicket

Land · Double Masters (2XM)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
692
Decks Running
326
In Decks
1985
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Card text
Fire-Lit Thicket card

Fire-Lit Thicket

Land
{T}: Add {C}. {R/G}, {T}: Add {R}{R}, {R}{G}, or {G}{G}.
Double Masters (2XM) · Rare · Illustrated by Ralph Horsley

Final zone distribution

179 instances
3.9%
Library
62.6%
Battlefield
13.4%
Graveyard
3.4%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

694 brought · 305 players
Brought to game
694
Ever drawn
163
Reached battlefield
121
Still on board at game end
112

Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -7.2pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=111) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=432).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 44% (n=34) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -7.2pp to +8.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=121
15%
T1
14%
T2
12%
T3
12%
T4
11%
T5
25%
T6-9
12%
T10+
Median 4 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14
Cast same turn as drawn 58%
678 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.