Fire-Lit Thicket
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Fire-Lit Thicket
Final zone distribution
196 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
149 decks
-
2
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
19 decks
-
3
Minsc & Boo, Timeless Heroes
9 decks
-
4
Toph, the First Metalbender
9 decks
-
5
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
8 decks
-
6
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
7 decks
-
7
Tifa, Martial Artist
7 decks
-
8
Tovolar, Dire Overlord // Tovolar, the Midnight Scourge
7 decks
-
9
Animar, Soul of Elements
6 decks
-
10
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
864 brought · 376 playersOnce cast, 97% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=121) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=520).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=19).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.8pp to +8.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.