Forbidden Orchard
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Forbidden Orchard
Final zone distribution
368 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
73 decks
-
2
Tom Bombadil
23 decks
-
3
Kenrith, the Returned King
22 decks
-
4
Toxrill, the Corrosive
21 decks
-
5
Go-Shintai of Life's Origin
19 decks
-
6
The First Sliver
19 decks
-
7
Flubs, the Fool
18 decks
-
8
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
16 decks
-
9
Sisay, Weatherlight Captain
14 decks
-
10
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
13 decks
The "good card" funnel
1585 brought · 610 playersOnce cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=243) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=1060).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=61).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -1.1pp; 95% confidence interval -4.6pp to +2.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.