Forbidden Orchard
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Forbidden Orchard
Final zone distribution
174 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
54 decks
-
2
Tom Bombadil
17 decks
-
3
Kenrith, the Returned King
16 decks
-
4
Go-Shintai of Life's Origin
13 decks
-
5
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
12 decks
-
6
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
10 decks
-
7
Queen Marchesa
10 decks
-
8
Flubs, the Fool
9 decks
-
9
Najeela, the Blade-Blossom
9 decks
-
10
The First Sliver
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
767 brought · 354 playersOnce cast, 91% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=89) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=430).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -5.9pp to +5.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.