Forge Anew
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Forge Anew
Final zone distribution
216 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
105 decks
-
2
Captain America, First Avenger
42 decks
-
3
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary
39 decks
-
4
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
26 decks
-
5
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
25 decks
-
6
Lightning, Army of One
25 decks
-
7
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
25 decks
-
8
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer
21 decks
-
9
Mabel, Heir to Cragflame
17 decks
-
10
Nahiri, Forged in Fury
17 decks
The "good card" funnel
1329 brought · 543 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=104) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1014).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=89).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -6.6pp to +3.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.