Forge Anew
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Forge Anew
Final zone distribution
96 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
44 decks
-
2
Captain America, First Avenger
20 decks
-
3
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary
14 decks
-
4
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
14 decks
-
5
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer
11 decks
-
6
Mabel, Heir to Cragflame
11 decks
-
7
Noctis, Heir Apparent
10 decks
-
8
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
9 decks
-
9
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
9 decks
-
10
Lightning, Army of One
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
574 brought · 237 playersOnce cast, 79% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=42) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=349).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=29).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -3.9pp; 95% confidence interval -12.0pp to +4.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.