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Gut Shot

· Instant · Modern Masters 2015 (MM2)

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Times Brought

284

Decks Running

152

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Gut Shot

Instant

(

can be paid with either {R}

or 2 life.) Gut Shot deals 1 damage to any target.

Modern Masters 2015 (MM2) · Common · Illustrated by Greg Staples

Final zone distribution

73 instances

2.7%

Library

6.8%

Battlefield

67.1%

Graveyard

12.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 33 decks
2 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 23 decks
3 Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy 15 decks
4 Flubs, the Fool 8 decks
5 Crystal, Inhuman Princess 7 decks
6 Krark, the Thumbless 7 decks
7 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 6 decks
8 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 5 decks
9 Rowan, Scion of War 5 decks
10 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 4 decks

The "good card" funnel

285 brought · 142 players

Brought to game

285

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=45) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=150).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.3pp; 95% confidence interval +0.4pp to +16.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=53

11%

19%

21%

17%

23%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 3 · P75 6 · max 15

On curve 2% (1 / 53 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.