Live Play Data

Harbinger of the Hunt

· Creature — Dragon · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

288

Decks Running

145

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

49%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=36

17%

50%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 33% (6 / 36 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 18%

The "good card" funnel

291 brought · 143 players

Brought to game

291

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 36% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.7pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=34) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=180).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -0.2pp; 95% confidence interval -13.7pp to +13.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

77 instances

2.6%

Library

16.9%

Battlefield

33.8%

Graveyard

9.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Atarka, World Render 54 decks
2 Ureni of the Unwritten 50 decks
3 Eshki, Temur's Roar 20 decks
4 The Ur-Dragon 5 decks
5 Zilortha, Strength Incarnate 5 decks
6 Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm 2 decks
7 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 1 decks
8 Maelstrom Wanderer 1 decks
9 O-Kagachi, Vengeful Kami 1 decks
10 Raggadragga, Goreguts Boss 1 decks

Card text

Harbinger of the Hunt

Creature — Dragon

Flying

: This creature deals 1 damage to each creature without flying. {2}

: This creature deals 1 damage to each other creature with flying.

5 / 3

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Aaron Miller

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.