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Heat Shimmer

· Sorcery · Double Masters (2XM)

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Times Brought

194

Decks Running

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Heat Shimmer

Sorcery

Create a token that's a copy of target creature, except it has haste and "At the beginning of the end step, exile this token."

Double Masters (2XM) · Rare · Illustrated by Franz Vohwinkel

Final zone distribution

43 instances

4.7%

Library

9.3%

Battlefield

41.9%

Graveyard

4.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 41 decks
2 Deadpool, Trading Card 10 decks
3 Zada, Hedron Grinder 7 decks
4 Krenko, Mob Boss 3 decks
5 Obeka, Brute Chronologist 3 decks
6 Child of Alara 2 decks
7 Norin the Wary 2 decks
8 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 2 decks
9 The Master, Multiplied 2 decks
10 Vivi Ornitier 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

194 brought · 95 players

Brought to game

194

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -7.3pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=17) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=107).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=17).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.2pp; 95% confidence interval -7.3pp to +17.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.