Horizon Explorer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Horizon Explorer
Final zone distribution
178 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
123 decks
-
2
Szarel, Genesis Shepherd
43 decks
-
3
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
29 decks
-
4
Tifa Lockhart
8 decks
-
5
Korvold, Fae-Cursed King
7 decks
-
6
The Necrobloom
7 decks
-
7
Blech, Loafing Pest
6 decks
-
8
Toph, Earthbending Master
5 decks
-
9
Toph, the First Metalbender
5 decks
-
10
Zask, Skittering Swarmlord
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
704 brought · 322 playersOnce cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=97) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=386).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.3pp; 95% confidence interval -0.2pp to +10.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.