Hornet Nest
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Hornet Nest
Final zone distribution
108 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Felothar the Steadfast
41 decks
-
2
Fynn, the Fangbearer
35 decks
-
3
Emmara, Soul of the Accord
28 decks
-
4
Blech, Loafing Pest
24 decks
-
5
Adrix and Nev, Twincasters
15 decks
-
6
Grist, the Hunger Tide
11 decks
-
7
The Serpent Society
10 decks
-
8
Zask, Skittering Swarmlord
8 decks
-
9
Wayta, Trainer Prodigy
7 decks
-
10
Xira, the Golden Sting
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
577 brought · 229 playersOnce cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=62) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=345).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.3pp to +10.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.