Card Preview

Humble Defector

· Creature — Human Rogue · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

231

Decks Running

106

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Humble Defector

Creature — Human Rogue

: Draw two cards. Target opponent gains control of this creature. Activate only during your turn.

2 / 1

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Slawomir Maniak

Final zone distribution

61 instances

4.9%

Library

45.9%

Battlefield

26.2%

Graveyard

9.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

231 brought · 99 players

Brought to game

231

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.1pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=40) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=134).

Observed gap -0.2pp; 95% confidence interval -9.1pp to +8.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=45

20%

16%

29%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 36% (7 / 45 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 50%

45 of 100 times cast 45%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.