Live Play Data

Invasion of Segovia // Caetus, Sea Tyrant of Segovia

Battle — Siege // Legendary Creature — Serpent · March of the Machine (MOM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

182

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=28

25%

39%

T6-9

21%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 11% (2 / 28 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 37%

The "good card" funnel

182 brought · 84 players

Brought to game

182

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -11.5pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=26) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=113).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -11.5pp to +20.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

52 instances

3.8%

Library

38.5%

Battlefield

34.6%

Graveyard

1.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Invasion of Segovia

Battle — Siege

(As a Siege enters, choose an opponent to protect it. You and others can attack it. When it's defeated, exile it, then cast it transformed.) When this Siege enters, create two 1/1 blue Kraken creature tokens with trample.

Defense 4

Caetus, Sea Tyrant of Segovia

Legendary Creature — Serpent

Noncreature spells you cast have convoke. (Your creatures can help cast those spells. Each creature you tap while casting a noncreature spell pays for {1}

or one mana of that creature's color.) At the beginning of your end step, untap up to four target creatures.

3 / 3

March of the Machine (MOM) · Rare · Illustrated by Edgar Sánchez Hidalgo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.