Karplusan Forest
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
236 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
50 decks
-
2
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
43 decks
-
3
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
38 decks
-
4
Ureni of the Unwritten
35 decks
-
5
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
19 decks
-
6
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
11 decks
-
7
Szarel, Genesis Shepherd
11 decks
-
8
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
10 decks
-
9
Flubs, the Fool
9 decks
-
10
Kibo, Uktabi Prince
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
1083 brought · 466 playersOnce cast, 90% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=164) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=680).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=29) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +0.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +4.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=193Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.