collections_bookmark Part of Tarkir Dragonstorm
Lier, Disciple of the Drowned card art
Card Preview

Lier, Disciple of the Drowned

{3} {U} {U} · Legendary Creature — Human Wizard · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
Times Brought
322
Decks Running
198
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Lier, Disciple of the Drowned card

Lier, Disciple of the Drowned

{3} {U} {U}
Legendary Creature — Human Wizard
Spells can't be countered. Each instant and sorcery card in your graveyard has flashback. The flashback cost is equal to that card's mana cost.
3 / 4
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Final zone distribution

85 instances
1.2%
Library
36.5%
Battlefield
28.2%
Graveyard
3.5%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

322 brought · 193 players
Brought to game
322
Ever drawn
77
Reached battlefield
47
Still on board at game end
31

Once cast, 66% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.3pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=36) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=172).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=26).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.6pp; 95% confidence interval -2.3pp to +15.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=48
4%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
13%
T4
13%
T5
58%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 15
On curve 29% (6 / 48 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.