Live Play Data

Lier, Disciple of the Drowned

· Legendary Creature — Human Wizard · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

196

Decks Running

119

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

51%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=26

12%

50%

T6-9

35%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 14

On curve 15% (3 / 26 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

196 brought · 108 players

Brought to game

196

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.8pp

Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=24) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=118).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=24).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +21.3pp; 95% confidence interval +1.8pp to +40.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

65 instances

6.2%

Library

18.5%

Battlefield

38.5%

Graveyard

7.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Lier, Disciple of the Drowned

Legendary Creature — Human Wizard

Spells can't be countered. Each instant and sorcery card in your graveyard has flashback. The flashback cost is equal to that card's mana cost.

3 / 4

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.