Live Play Data

Lightning Helix

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

286

Decks Running

154

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=41

10%

12%

54%

T6-9

24%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 0% (0 / 41 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

286 brought · 136 players

Brought to game

286

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -7.6pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=39) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=193).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 10% (n=21).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.6pp; 95% confidence interval -7.6pp to +20.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

72 instances

5.6%

Library

5.6%

Battlefield

55.6%

Graveyard

13.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 General Ferrous Rokiric 20 decks
2 Lightning, Army of One 16 decks
3 Firesong and Sunspeaker 14 decks
4 Bre of Clan Stoutarm 12 decks
5 Aragorn, the Uniter 8 decks
6 Shiko and Narset, Unified 7 decks
7 Edgar Markov 6 decks
8 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 5 decks
9 Ragost, Deft Gastronaut 5 decks
10 Joshua, Phoenix's Dominant // Phoenix, Warden of Fire 3 decks

Card text

Lightning Helix

Instant

Lightning Helix deals 3 damage to any target and you gain 3 life.

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Eli Minaya

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.