Live Play Data

Lightning Helix

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

233

Decks Running

132

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=33

55%

T6-9

27%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 16

On curve 0% (0 / 33 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 41%

The "good card" funnel

233 brought · 118 players

Brought to game

233

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -13.3pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=30) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=157).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -13.3pp to +19.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

57 instances

3.5%

Library

3.5%

Battlefield

57.9%

Graveyard

14.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 General Ferrous Rokiric 18 decks
2 Lightning, Army of One 14 decks
3 Bre of Clan Stoutarm 10 decks
4 Firesong and Sunspeaker 10 decks
5 Aragorn, the Uniter 8 decks
6 Edgar Markov 5 decks
7 Shiko and Narset, Unified 5 decks
8 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 4 decks
9 Ragost, Deft Gastronaut 4 decks
10 Joshua, Phoenix's Dominant // Phoenix, Warden of Fire 3 decks

Card text

Lightning Helix

Instant

Lightning Helix deals 3 damage to any target and you gain 3 life.

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Eli Minaya

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.