Manifold Key
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Manifold Key
Final zone distribution
239 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games- 1 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 48 decks
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2
Urza, Lord High Artificer
37 decks
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3
Shorikai, Genesis Engine
32 decks
- 4 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 25 decks
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5
Kilo, Apogee Mind
21 decks
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6
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
21 decks
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7
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
13 decks
- 8 Karn, Legacy Reforged 13 decks
- 9 Omnath, Locus of the Void 13 decks
- 10 Molecule Man 12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1045 brought · 436 playersOnce cast, 88% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=147) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=583).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.0pp; 95% confidence interval -0.4pp to +8.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.