Manifold Key
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Manifold Key
Final zone distribution
92 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games- 1 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 24 decks
-
2
Shorikai, Genesis Engine
12 decks
-
3
Kilo, Apogee Mind
11 decks
-
4
Urza, Lord High Artificer
11 decks
- 5 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 9 decks
-
6
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
8 decks
-
7
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
6 decks
-
8
Fynn, the Fangbearer
5 decks
- 9 Karn, Legacy Reforged 5 decks
- 10 Kozilek, the Great Distortion 5 decks
The "good card" funnel
409 brought · 195 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=55) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=237).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=16) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -7.7pp to +7.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=70Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.