Live Play Data

Mental Misstep

· Instant · New Phyrexia (NPH)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1973

Decks Running

864

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

40%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=192

18%

16%

13%

31%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 3 · P75 6 · max 15

On curve 18% (34 / 192 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 49%

The "good card" funnel

1973 brought · 651 players

Brought to game

1973

Ever drawn

476

Reached battlefield

192

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.6pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=179) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1149).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=248).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -0.1pp; 95% confidence interval -6.6pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

602 instances

5.3%

Library

2.3%

Battlefield

40.2%

Graveyard

18.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 57 decks
2 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 50 decks
3 Urza, Lord High Artificer 33 decks
4 Tymna the Weaver 28 decks
5 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 26 decks
6 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 20 decks
7 Sisay, Weatherlight Captain 20 decks
8 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 19 decks
9 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 18 decks
10 Kraum, Ludevic's Opus 17 decks

Card text

Mental Misstep

Instant

(

can be paid with either {U}

or 2 life.) Counter target spell with mana value 1.

New Phyrexia (NPH) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Erica Yang

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.