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Mental Misstep

· Instant · New Phyrexia (NPH)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

191

Decks Running

In Decks

1179

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

58 instances

10.3%

Library

1.7%

Battlefield

41.4%

Graveyard

13.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kenrith, the Returned King 5 decks
2 Urza, Lord High Artificer 4 decks
3 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 3 decks
4 Vivi Ornitier 3 decks
5 Anowon, the Ruin Thief 2 decks
6 Atraxa, Grand Unifier 2 decks
7 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 2 decks
8 Golbez, Crystal Collector 2 decks
9 Grand Arbiter Augustin IV 2 decks
10 Indominus Rex, Alpha 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

191 brought · 81 players

Brought to game

191

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -16.8pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=22) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=124).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=27) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -16.8pp to +16.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=22

27%

41%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 9% (2 / 22 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

22 of 100 times cast 22%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.