Mental Misstep card art
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Mental Misstep

{U/P} · Instant · New Phyrexia (NPH)
Times Brought
799
Decks Running
383
In Decks
Decklist Inclusion
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Mental Misstep card

Mental Misstep

{U/P}
Instant
({U/P} can be paid with either {U} or 2 life.) Counter target spell with mana value 1.
New Phyrexia (NPH) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Erica Yang

Final zone distribution

194 instances
3.1%
Library
4.1%
Battlefield
33.5%
Graveyard
17.5%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

800 brought · 311 players
Brought to game
800
Ever drawn
167
Reached battlefield
77
Still on board at game end
8
≥ +7.0pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=63) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=435).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=67).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.8pp; 95% confidence interval +7.0pp to +18.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=77
16%
T1
6%
T2
19%
T3
8%
T4
14%
T5
25%
T6-9
12%
T10+
Median 5 P25 3 · P75 6 · max 16
On curve 16% (12 / 77 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 44%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.