Live Play Data

Minas Tirith

Legendary Land · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

558

Decks Running

291

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

86%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

86% of drawn Minas Tirith copies are played before the game ends, the highest rate among white utility lands tracked on Playgroup Live, with a median first cast on turn 4.

Minas Tirith sits in 6% of the 5248 tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, appearing in 291 distinct lists. When it reaches a player's hand, 86% of those copies reach the battlefield, one of the strongest draw-to-play figures we track for a utility land.

The card's appeal is structural. It enters untapped for free if you already control a legendary creature, which is almost always true in Commander. The draw ability asks you to attack with two or more creatures and pay {1}{W}, a condition that aggressive and go-wide white decks satisfy routinely. Median first cast lands on turn 4, reflecting both the land drop timing and how early players prioritize getting it into play. Once it resolves, 92% of copies remain on the battlefield at game's end, consistent with a land that is hard to target and easy to keep.

The commander spread tells the clearest story about fit. Giada, Font of Hope, Éowyn, Shieldmaiden, Aragorn the Uniter, and Edgar Markov all show up in the top ten. These are creature-dense, attack-oriented strategies that satisfy Minas Tirith's draw condition consistently. The data is well distributed across 262 unique players, with no single contributor exceeding 4% of all tracked instances, which strengthens confidence in the directional signals here.

At a glance

6% of tracked Commander decks include Minas Tirith
86% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game ends
T4 median turn of first cast
92% battlefield stickiness once played
262 unique players have brought Minas Tirith to a tracked game

First-cast turn

n=103

19%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 19

Cast same turn as drawn 52%

The "good card" funnel

559 brought · 262 players

Brought to game

559

Ever drawn

120

Reached battlefield

103

Still on board at game end

86%

Of 559 copies brought to games, 120 were drawn, 103 of those were cast, and 92% stayed on the battlefield through end of game, a tight funnel for a utility land.

≥ -11.7pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=100) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=401).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 40% (n=17) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -3.2pp; 95% confidence interval -11.7pp to +5.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

131 instances

4.6%

Library

72.5%

Battlefield

9.9%

Graveyard

3.8%

Exile

The overwhelming majority of Minas Tirith copies end games on the battlefield, a direct consequence of being a land: once played, it generates value without being an easy removal target.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Giada, Font of Hope leads with 17 decks, but the spread across creature-combat commanders from multiple color identities shows Minas Tirith fitting any white strategy that attacks regularly.

Frequently Asked

How often is Minas Tirith drawn in a Commander game?

Across 537 tracked multiplayer games where Minas Tirith was in the deck, it was drawn 21% of the time. That is broadly typical for a singleton land in a 100-card deck. Of the 120 copies that reached a hand, 86% were cast before the game concluded. The high rate reflects both how early the land gets played and how rarely players choose to hold it once they have the mana and are attacking.

What turn does Minas Tirith typically come down?

Median first cast is turn 4. The distribution has a notable cluster at turn 1, capturing copies kept in the opening hand and played immediately as a land drop. A second, broader cluster runs from turns 4 through 7, reflecting copies drawn into a game already in motion. The p25-to-p75 range spans turns 2 through 7, so timing is spread across the early and mid game rather than spiking at a single point.

Does casting Minas Tirith correlate with winning?

In 100 participations where Minas Tirith was cast, the normalized win rate was 23%. In 401 participations where it stayed in the library, the rate was 26%. The delta between those two figures is slightly negative in this dataset, but the confidence interval crosses zero, so the early signal does not support a directional claim. Treat it as noise at this sample size rather than evidence that the card hurts your win rate.

Which commanders pair most often with Minas Tirith?

Giada, Font of Hope leads the list, consistent with a mono-white go-wide strategy that both meets the legendary-creature entry condition and attacks with multiple creatures each turn. Éowyn, Shieldmaiden, Aragorn the Uniter, and Edgar Markov follow. The common thread across all top commanders is a combat-oriented gameplan with a reliable board of creatures, which is exactly what Minas Tirith's card-draw condition rewards.

Is Minas Tirith legal in Commander?

Yes. Minas Tirith is legal in Commander, Legacy, Modern, Vintage, Historic, Timeless, Duel Commander, Brawl, and Oathbreaker. It is not legal in Standard, Pioneer, Pauper, or Pauper Commander. It originated in The Hobbit Commander set and carries a mythic rarity, though it functions as a utility land rather than a splashy mythic threat.

How concentrated is the data across players?

Minas Tirith has been brought to tracked games by 262 distinct players, with the single most active contributor accounting for only 4% of all instances. That spread is a positive signal for the reliability of the numbers here. No single player or playgroup is driving the headline stats, which makes the draw-to-play and stickiness figures more representative of the broader player base.