Live Play Data

Nadier's Nightblade

· Creature — Elf Warrior · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

1053

Decks Running

461

Median Cast Turn

6.5

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=144

11%

13%

12%

49%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 14% (16 / 144 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

1053 brought · 437 players

Brought to game

1053

Ever drawn

234

Reached battlefield

144

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=134) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=712).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=80).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.3pp; 95% confidence interval +1.2pp to +17.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

252 instances

2.4%

Library

34.9%

Battlefield

28.6%

Graveyard

5.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hazel of the Rootbloom 53 decks
2 Chatterfang, Squirrel General 46 decks
3 Smaug the Impenetrable 43 decks
4 Mr. House, President and CEO 25 decks
5 Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit 21 decks
6 Lathril, Blade of the Elves 15 decks
7 Prosper, Tome-Bound 15 decks
8 Kambal, Profiteering Mayor 12 decks
9 Vihaan, Goldwaker 11 decks
10 Smaug, Wicked Worm 10 decks

Card text

Nadier's Nightblade

Creature — Elf Warrior

Whenever a token you control leaves the battlefield, each opponent loses 1 life and you gain 1 life.

1 / 3

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Randy Vargas

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.