Nadier's Nightblade
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Nadier's Nightblade
Final zone distribution
226 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hazel of the Rootbloom
82 decks
-
2
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
68 decks
-
3
Smaug the Impenetrable
40 decks
-
4
Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit
20 decks
-
5
Prosper, Tome-Bound
19 decks
-
6
Mr. House, President and CEO
18 decks
-
7
Smaug, Wicked Worm
14 decks
-
8
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
13 decks
-
9
Vihaan, Goldwaker
13 decks
-
10
Shadow the Hedgehog
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1045 brought · 501 playersOnce cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=112) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=581).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=49).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.6pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.