Nadier's Nightblade
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Nadier's Nightblade
Final zone distribution
78 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hazel of the Rootbloom
33 decks
-
2
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
26 decks
-
3
Smaug the Impenetrable
14 decks
-
4
Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit
12 decks
-
5
Prosper, Tome-Bound
11 decks
-
6
Mr. House, President and CEO
8 decks
-
7
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
6 decks
-
8
Ognis, the Dragon's Lash
5 decks
-
9
Edward Kenway
4 decks
-
10
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
406 brought · 216 playersOnce cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=46) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=251).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=18) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.8pp; 95% confidence interval -4.8pp to +10.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=52Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.