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Null Elemental Blast

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

343

Decks Running

173

In Decks

1229

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Null Elemental Blast

Instant

Choose one — • Counter target multicolored spell. • Destroy target multicolored permanent.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Milivoj Ćeran

Final zone distribution

86 instances

3.5%

Library

3.5%

Battlefield

52.3%

Graveyard

8.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ulalek, Fused Atrocity 20 decks
2 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 18 decks
3 Molecule Man 17 decks
4 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 13 decks
5 Azlask, the Swelling Scourge 9 decks
6 Ultima, Origin of Oblivion 8 decks
7 Kozilek, the Great Distortion 7 decks
8 The Walls of Ba Sing Se 5 decks
9 Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought 4 decks
10 The Vision 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

343 brought · 161 players

Brought to game

343

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=47) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=233).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 51% (n=22) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +11.9pp; 95% confidence interval -1.2pp to +25.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=53

11%

21%

45%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 2% (1 / 53 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

53 of 100 times cast 53%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.