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Part of Modern Horizons 3
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Creature — Cat
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Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
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Ocelot Pride
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
376
Decks Running
188
In Decks
1365
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
127 instances2.4%
Library
40.9%
Battlefield
33.9%
Graveyard
8.7%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Rin and Seri, Inseparable
14 decks
-
2
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
10 decks
-
3
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
8 decks
-
4
Marneus Calgar
8 decks
-
5
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
7 decks
-
6
Baylen, the Haymaker
7 decks
-
7
Winota, Joiner of Forces
7 decks
-
8
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
7 decks
-
9
Arahbo, Roar of the World
5 decks
-
10
Arna Kennerüd, Skycaptain
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
377 brought · 172 playersBrought to game
377
Ever drawn
120
Reached battlefield
97
Still on board at game end
52
Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +5.8pp
Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=86) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=214).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=21) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +16.2pp; 95% confidence interval +5.8pp to +26.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=97
26%
T1
13%
T2
4%
T3
5%
T4
15%
T5
27%
T6-9
9%
T10+
Median
5
P25
1
· P75
7
· max
23
On curve
26%
(25 / 97 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
74%
97 of 100 times cast
97%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.