Oracle of Mul Daya
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Oracle of Mul Daya
Final zone distribution
357 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
130 decks
-
2
Szarel, Genesis Shepherd
44 decks
-
3
Tifa Lockhart
37 decks
-
4
Flubs, the Fool
35 decks
-
5
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
27 decks
-
6
Azusa, Lost but Seeking
25 decks
-
7
Omnath, Locus of Creation
17 decks
-
8
Omnath, Locus of Rage
17 decks
-
9
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
14 decks
-
10
The Ur-Dragon
14 decks
The "good card" funnel
1629 brought · 664 playersOnce cast, 66% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=194) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=961).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=59).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.5pp; 95% confidence interval +1.7pp to +9.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.