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Oran-Rief, the Vastwood card art
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Oran-Rief, the Vastwood

Land · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
3%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
348
Decks Running
196
In Decks
1819
Decklist Inclusion
3%
Format

Final zone distribution

99 instances
3.0%
Library
61.6%
Battlefield
15.2%
Graveyard
3.0%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

348 brought · 173 players
Brought to game
348
Ever drawn
93
Reached battlefield
65
Still on board at game end
61

Once cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.1pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=64) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=240).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=23) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +9.9pp; 95% confidence interval -2.1pp to +21.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=65
25%
T1
2%
T2
9%
T3
15%
T4
14%
T5
32%
T6-9
3%
T10+
Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 10
Cast same turn as drawn 62%
65 of 100 times cast 65%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.