Plan for All Outcomes
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Plan for All Outcomes
Final zone distribution
73 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jace, Multiverse Architect
124 decks
-
2
Nissa, Leyline Tamer
4 decks
-
3
Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound
2 decks
-
4
Denzilore Fatehold
1 decks
-
5
Jared Carthalion
1 decks
-
6
Kiora of Salt and Sand
1 decks
-
7
Lyra, Tolarian Archangel
1 decks
-
8
Tam, the Possibility
1 decks
-
9
Uldaros Theorix
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
231 brought · 133 playersOnce cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=34) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=122).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=29).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.8pp; 95% confidence interval -2.4pp to +15.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.