Rolling Hamsphere
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Rolling Hamsphere
Final zone distribution
91 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
120 decks
-
2
Greasefang, Okiba Boss
9 decks
-
3
Dr. Eggman
3 decks
-
4
Toph, the First Metalbender
3 decks
-
5
Captain America, Living Legend
2 decks
-
6
Caradora, Heart of Alacria
2 decks
-
7
Minsc & Boo, Timeless Heroes
2 decks
-
8
Mishra, Eminent One
2 decks
-
9
Setzer, Wandering Gambler
2 decks
-
10
The Jolly Balloon Man
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
367 brought · 159 playersOnce cast, 66% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=32) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=191).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=30).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.1pp to +17.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.