Sapling Nursery
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sapling Nursery
Final zone distribution
63 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doran, Besieged by Time
13 decks
-
2
Toph, the First Metalbender
8 decks
-
3
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
6 decks
-
4
Tatyova, Benthic Druid
5 decks
-
5
Ashaya, Soul of the Wild
4 decks
-
6
Bonny Pall, Clearcutter
4 decks
-
7
Fangorn, Tree Shepherd
4 decks
-
8
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
4 decks
-
9
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
4 decks
-
10
The Earth King
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
312 brought · 156 playersOnce cast, 80% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=29) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=174).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=15).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -9.6pp to +10.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.