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Scalding Tarn card art
Live Play Data

Scalding Tarn

Land · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)
10%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
15460
Decks Running
6565
Median Cast Turn
4
Drawn → Played
67%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=2769
20%
T1
15%
T2
13%
T3
11%
T4
11%
T5
26%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 24
Cast same turn as drawn 55%

The "good card" funnel

15464 brought · 3202 players
Brought to game
15464
Ever drawn
4106
Reached battlefield
2769
Still on board at game end
201

Once cast, 7% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.8pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=2450) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=9331).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=1183).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.8pp; 95% confidence interval +4.8pp to +8.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

4652 instances
4.4%
Library
4.3%
Battlefield
61.5%
Graveyard
10.8%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Scalding Tarn card

Scalding Tarn

Land
{T}, Pay 1 life, Sacrifice this land: Search your library for an Island or Mountain card, put it onto the battlefield, then shuffle.
Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Philip Straub

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.