Live Play Data

Scalding Tarn

Land · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

10%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

3318

Decks Running

1679

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

67%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=585

27%

11%

12%

10%

11%

25%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 60%

The "good card" funnel

3319 brought · 970 players

Brought to game

3319

Ever drawn

870

Reached battlefield

585

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 6% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.8pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=519) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=2006).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=256).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.9pp; 95% confidence interval +2.8pp to +11.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

985 instances

5.3%

Library

3.8%

Battlefield

63.4%

Graveyard

9.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Ur-Dragon 60 decks
2 Sauron, the Dark Lord 36 decks
3 Vivi Ornitier 26 decks
4 Flubs, the Fool 23 decks
5 Fire Lord Azula 22 decks
6 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 21 decks
7 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 17 decks
8 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 17 decks
9 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 17 decks
10 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man 17 decks

Card text

Scalding Tarn

Land

, Pay 1 life, Sacrifice this land: Search your library for an Island or Mountain card, put it onto the battlefield, then shuffle.

Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Philip Straub

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.