Live Play Data
Scalding Tarn
Land
·
Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)
10%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
8561
Decks Running
3989
Median Cast Turn
3.0
Drawn → Played
69%
Format
First-cast turn
n=1566
26%
T1
13%
T2
12%
T3
10%
T4
11%
T5
24%
T6-9
4%
T10+
Median
3.0
P25
1
· P75
6
· max
15
Cast same turn as drawn
60%
The "good card" funnel
8562 brought · 2115 playersBrought to game
8562
Ever drawn
2274
Reached battlefield
1566
Still on board at game end
113
Once cast, 7% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +2.5pp
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=1384) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=5135).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=619).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.0pp; 95% confidence interval +2.5pp to +7.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
2577 instances5.0%
Library
4.4%
Battlefield
62.0%
Graveyard
10.6%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
120 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
96 decks
-
3
Vivi Ornitier
83 decks
-
4
Fire Lord Azula
49 decks
-
5
Flubs, the Fool
48 decks
-
6
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
46 decks
-
7
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
45 decks
-
8
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
43 decks
-
9
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
42 decks
-
10
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
42 decks
Card text
Scalding Tarn
Land
, Pay 1 life, Sacrifice this land: Search your library for an Island or Mountain card, put it onto the battlefield, then shuffle.
Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)
·
Rare
·
Illustrated by Philip Straub
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.