Scalding Tarn card art
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Scalding Tarn

Land · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)
Times Brought
2489
Decks Running
1241
In Decks
Decklist Inclusion
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Scalding Tarn card

Scalding Tarn

Land
{T}, Pay 1 life, Sacrifice this land: Search your library for an Island or Mountain card, put it onto the battlefield, then shuffle.
Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Philip Straub

Final zone distribution

562 instances
4.3%
Library
7.3%
Battlefield
62.3%
Graveyard
11.2%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

2492 brought · 759 players
Brought to game
2492
Ever drawn
512
Reached battlefield
389
Still on board at game end
41

Once cast, 10% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=314) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1472).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=92).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.6pp; 95% confidence interval -0.4pp to +5.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=389
29%
T1
15%
T2
10%
T3
10%
T4
11%
T5
22%
T6-9
3%
T10+
Median 3 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 14
Cast same turn as drawn 66%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.