Scrapshooter
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Scrapshooter
Final zone distribution
103 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
194 decks
-
2
Muerra, Trash Tactician
17 decks
-
3
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
6 decks
-
4
Ms. Bumbleflower
4 decks
-
5
The Earth King
3 decks
-
6
Baylen, the Haymaker
2 decks
-
7
Cadira, Caller of the Small
2 decks
-
8
Finneas, Ace Archer
2 decks
-
9
Grothama, All-Devouring
2 decks
-
10
Ohabi Caleria
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
520 brought · 250 playersOnce cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=51) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=290).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=18).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -5.9pp; 95% confidence interval -13.4pp to +1.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.