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· Sorcery · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

306

Decks Running

160

In Decks

989

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

70 instances

75.7%

Graveyard

8.6%

Exile

15.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Olivia, Opulent Outlaw 9 decks
2 Smaug the Magnificent 9 decks
3 Jaws, Relentless Predator 7 decks
4 Kratos, God of War 7 decks
5 Iroh, Tea Master 5 decks
6 Zidane, Tantalus Thief 5 decks
7 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 4 decks
8 Mr. House, President and CEO 4 decks
9 Aziza, Mage Tower Captain 3 decks
10 Brion Stoutarm 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

306 brought · 144 players

Brought to game

306

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -16.3pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=45) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=219).

Observed gap -4.2pp; 95% confidence interval -16.3pp to +7.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=47

19%

17%

45%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 9% (4 / 47 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

47 of 100 times cast 47%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.