Live Play Data

Selvala, Explorer Returned

· Legendary Creature — Elf Scout · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1072

Decks Running

497

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=219

22%

16%

12%

35%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 16

On curve 31% (48 / 219 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

The "good card" funnel

1072 brought · 475 players

Brought to game

1072

Ever drawn

319

Reached battlefield

187

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 53% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=167) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=646).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=123).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.6pp; 95% confidence interval +0.4pp to +14.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

340 instances

2.4%

Library

29.1%

Battlefield

32.6%

Graveyard

4.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ms. Bumbleflower 195 decks
2 Kynaios and Tiro of Meletis 56 decks
3 Gluntch, the Bestower 41 decks
4 Kwia Vigorbloom 37 decks
5 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 14 decks
6 Kenrith, the Returned King 13 decks
7 Phelddagrif 12 decks
8 Mr. Foxglove 11 decks
9 Trostani, Selesnya's Voice 11 decks
10 Jared Carthalion 10 decks

Card text

Selvala, Explorer Returned

Legendary Creature — Elf Scout

Parley —

: Each player reveals the top card of their library. For each nonland card revealed this way, add {G}

and you gain 1 life. Then each player draws a card. (Activate only as an instant.)

2 / 4

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Tyler Jacobson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.