Sephara, Sky's Blade
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sephara, Sky's Blade
Final zone distribution
205 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Giada, Font of Hope
276 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
104 decks
-
3
Isperia, Supreme Judge
21 decks
-
4
Bruna, the Fading Light
19 decks
-
5
Alela, Artful Provocateur
18 decks
-
6
Gisela, the Broken Blade
14 decks
-
7
Kastral, the Windcrested
11 decks
-
8
Sigarda, Font of Blessings
11 decks
-
9
Errant and Giada
10 decks
-
10
Shilgengar, Sire of Famine
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
1169 brought · 554 playersOnce cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=92) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=671).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=53).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +11.1pp; 95% confidence interval +6.5pp to +15.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.