Live Play Data

Shifting Ceratops

· Creature — Dinosaur · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

241

Decks Running

122

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=52

17%

10%

54%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 27% (9 / 52 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

241 brought · 115 players

Brought to game

241

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=48) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=147).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.5pp to +24.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

73 instances

1.4%

Library

39.7%

Battlefield

30.1%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 94 decks
2 Gishath, Sun's Avatar 10 decks
3 Ghalta, Primal Hunger 2 decks
4 Ghalta, Stampede Tyrant 2 decks
5 Sovereign Okinec Ahau 2 decks
6 Volo, Guide to Monsters 2 decks
7 Atla Palani, Nest Tender 1 decks
8 Ellie and Alan, Paleontologists 1 decks
9 Imoti, Celebrant of Bounty 1 decks
10 Kona, Rescue Beastie 1 decks

Card text

Shifting Ceratops

Creature — Dinosaur

This spell can't be countered. Protection from blue (This creature can't be blocked, targeted, dealt damage, enchanted, or equipped by anything blue.) {G}

: This creature gains your choice of reach, trample, or haste until end of turn.

5 / 4

The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Izzy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.