Live Play Data

Sinister Gnarlbark

· Creature — Treefolk Warlock · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

614

Decks Running

275

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=108

16%

14%

10%

41%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 17

On curve 17% (17 / 108 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

614 brought · 254 players

Brought to game

614

Ever drawn

164

Reached battlefield

108

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 49% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -3.5pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=103) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=365).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=50).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.5pp to +14.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

186 instances

2.7%

Library

28.5%

Battlefield

40.3%

Graveyard

5.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 167 decks
2 The Reaper, King No More 21 decks
3 Hapatra, Vizier of Poisons 16 decks
4 Doran, Besieged by Time 15 decks
5 The Great Goblin 6 decks
6 Felothar the Steadfast 5 decks
7 Doran, the Siege Tower 4 decks
8 Koh, the Face Stealer 3 decks
9 Sheoldred // The True Scriptures 3 decks
10 Shirei, Shizo's Caretaker 3 decks

Card text

Sinister Gnarlbark

Creature — Treefolk Warlock

At the beginning of your end step, draw a card and blight 1. (Put a -1/-1 counter on a creature you control.)

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Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Olivier Bernard

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.