Live Play Data

Skull Prophet

· Creature — Human Druid · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

378

Decks Running

191

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=81

16%

11%

12%

35%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 21% (13 / 81 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

378 brought · 182 players

Brought to game

378

Ever drawn

117

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 53% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.1pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=72) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=189).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -8.1pp to +12.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

157 instances

3.8%

Library

27.4%

Battlefield

41.4%

Graveyard

12.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Skull Prophet

Creature — Human Druid

: Add

: Mill two cards. (Put the top two cards of your library into your graveyard.)

3 / 1

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Nils Hamm

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.