Live Play Data

Skull Prophet

· Creature — Human Druid · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

666

Decks Running

300

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=139

19%

12%

31%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 15

On curve 24% (26 / 139 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

666 brought · 284 players

Brought to game

666

Ever drawn

198

Reached battlefield

139

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 51% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=128) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=347).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=45).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.9pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +16.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

264 instances

3.4%

Library

26.9%

Battlefield

44.7%

Graveyard

9.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Skull Prophet

Creature — Human Druid

: Add

: Mill two cards. (Put the top two cards of your library into your graveyard.)

3 / 1

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Nils Hamm

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.