Commander

Winter, Cynical Opportunist

Global commander stats {B} {G} All Golgari commanders Featured in Duskmourn: House of Horror
Win Rate 31%
1416 Wins
3087 Losses
Overview

Summary

Winter, Cynical Opportunist is a Magic: The Gathering commander tracked across 4,506 recorded Playgroup games, winning 31% of them (14163087) at an Elo of 1,503, ranking #1906 globally.

Wins average 9 turns, with 95 damage dealt and 0.6 player kills per game on average.

Last full refresh
Sources Scryfall · EDHREC · JSON API

Frequently Asked

What is Winter, Cynical Opportunist's win rate?
Winter, Cynical Opportunist has a 31% win rate across 4506 recorded Playgroup games (1416 wins, 3087 losses).
How long do winning games with Winter, Cynical Opportunist take?
Wins with Winter, Cynical Opportunist take on average 9 turns. Total tracked play time: about 1 month.
How many decks use Winter, Cynical Opportunist?
1,205 decks list Winter, Cynical Opportunist as their commander on Playgroup, of which 821 have played at least one recorded game.
Global rank
1906
Wins by turn (avg.)
9
Elo rating
1503
Trend

Global Elo trend

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Trend

Commander popularity trend

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Averages

Misc. stats

Average damage per game 95
Average commander damage per game 2
Average poison counters given per game 4
Average kills per game 0.6
Average turn length 1 minute
No. decks for this commander 1205
No. decks with at least one game for this commander 821
No. games played with this commander 4506
Total hours played about 1 month
Community

Top 5 public decks

Rank Elo User Games Wins
1 1668 Guardi-ola 15 10
2 1664 Hawt_Wingz 42 15
3 1570 Ptito 6 3
4 1558 Martyhum 11 4
5 1550 Kuma57 9 6
Outcomes

How does this commander win?

When Winter, Cynical Opportunist wins, 72.38% of wins come via combat across tracked games with a recorded win condition.

Combat
72.38%
Non Combat Damage
16.46%
Combo
4.33%
Alternative
4.33%
Commander Damage
1.92%
Mill
0.48%
Poison
0.1%
Avg win turn 9.4 based on 1468 wins with recorded turn counts
Measured

Staples that win games for Winter, Cynical Opportunist

Cards that raise this deck's measured win rate the most, compared with Winter, Cynical Opportunist decks that leave them out.

+3.7 pp
Top card: Assassin's Trophy
# Card Lift
1
Assassin's Trophy
Assassin's Trophy 140 games
+3.7 pp
2
Nesting Grounds
Nesting Grounds 239 games
+0.3 pp

Measured win-rate lift against decks on the same commander without the card, ranked by the 95% lower bound. How this is measured

Table position

Does seating order matter?

Winter, Cynical Opportunist wins 39.09% of games from position 1 and 14.85% from position 5 across tracked games.

1
Seat 1
39.09% n=1379
2
Seat 2
33.5% n=1433
3
Seat 3
24.98% n=1093
4
Seat 4
22.26% n=656
5
Seat 5
14.85% n=101
6
Seat 6
25.0% n=12
Opening hands

Do mulligans hurt this commander?

Across tracked games, Winter, Cynical Opportunist wins 30.46% after 0 mulligans and 50.0% after 5 mulligans.

0
0 mulligans
30.46% n=2500
1
1 mulligan
28.92% n=619
2
2 mulligans
23.94% n=188
3
3 mulligans
28.0% n=50
4
4 mulligans
12.5% n=8
5
5 mulligans
50.0% n=2
Player reports

How do players rate games with this commander?

Pilot rating

Pilots rate their own games with Winter, Cynical Opportunist 3.7/5 on average, across 3211 self-reports.

3.7 / 5
🧂

Opponent salt

When Winter, Cynical Opportunist wins, opponents flag the game as salty 69.5% of the time across 1472 tracked wins.

69.5 \%
Head to head

Best and worst matchups

Opposing commanders with at least ten tracked games against Winter, Cynical Opportunist. Pairs with fewer than 25 games are shown in italics; treat those as suggestive, not statistical.

Top 5 best matchups

Flubs, the Fool commander art
Flubs, the Fool 10 games
60.0%
Katara, the Fearless commander art
60.0%
Davros, Dalek Creator commander art
56.41%
The First Sliver commander art
The First Sliver 15 games
53.33%

Top 5 worst matchups