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Smaug the Impenetrable card art
Live Play Data

Smaug the Impenetrable

{5} {B} {R} · Legendary Creature — Dragon · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
172
Decks Running
59
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
68%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=220
1%
T1
0%
T2
9%
T3
22%
T4
29%
T5
35%
T6-9
4%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 6 · max 16
On curve 90% (25 / 220 cast on T7)

The "good card" funnel

172 brought · 59 players
Brought to game
172
Ever drawn
34
Reached battlefield
23
Still on board at game end
16

Once cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -15.7pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=18) , vs 31% when it never left the library (n=107).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.2pp; 95% confidence interval -15.7pp to +28.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

43 instances
37.2%
Battlefield
32.6%
Graveyard
9.3%
Exile
20.9%
Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Smaug the Impenetrable card

Smaug the Impenetrable

{5} {B} {R}
Legendary Creature — Dragon
Flying, indestructible, haste Whenever Smaug is dealt noncombat damage, create that many Treasure tokens.
8 / 7
The Hobbit Eternal (HOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Marta Nael

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.